PPP: Slew of good results for Clinton, Senate

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Friday November 04, 2016 · 8:34 AM PDT

2016/11/04 · 08:34

New @ppppolls (D):

New Hampshire:
Clinton +5

Nevada:
Clinton +3

Wisconsin:
Clinton +7

Pennsylvania
Clinton +4

North Carolina
Clinton +2
Ã¢ÂÂ Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) November 4, 2016

Our latest New Hampshire numbers find Hillary Clinton leading 48-43 and Maggie Hassan leading 48-45: https://t.co/vpHcoisNPU
Ã¢ÂÂ PublicPolicyPolling (@ppppolls) November 4, 2016

Our latest Nevada numbers find Hillary Clinton leading 48-45 and Catherine Cortez Masto leading 47-44: https://t.co/f8KKWfCOtv
Ã¢ÂÂ PublicPolicyPolling (@ppppolls) November 4, 2016

Our latest Wisconsin numbers find Hillary Clinton leading 48-41 and Russ Feingold leading 49-44: https://t.co/7I8klEcra2
Ã¢ÂÂ PublicPolicyPolling (@ppppolls) November 4, 2016

Our latest Pennsylvania numbers find Hillary Clinton leading 48-44 and Katie McGinty leading 46-44:https://t.co/ovw9nZ3Wyk
Ã¢ÂÂ PublicPolicyPolling (@ppppolls) November 4, 2016

Only less-than-great news was in NC, where Burr is up by 3, and MO, where Blunt is up by 2.

Survey USA: Clinton +10 in Minnesota. No, Donald, you're not going to win Minnesota.

MeMeMeMeMe

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Saturday October 29, 2016 · 8:38 PM PDT

2016/10/29 · 20:38

#Minnesota
KSTP/@surveyusa (10/22-26):

Clinton 49% (+10)
Trump 39%
Johnson 5%
Stein 2%https://t.co/gq9nCGBG2h
Ã¢ÂÂ Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) October 30, 2016

From the article:

* One month ago, Trump led among independent men by 20 points, now that group is tied.
* One month ago, Trump led among all independents by 6, now trails by 5.
* One month ago, Clinton led among women by 15 points, now by 20.
* One month ago, Trump led among voters with a high-school education by 6 points, now by 1.
* One month ago, Trump led among Generation X by 8, now trails by 13

Full crosstabs here.

Whoa: Clinton up 4 in Alaska

MeMeMeMeMe

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Saturday October 29, 2016 · 8:25 PM PDT

2016/10/29 · 20:25

#BREAKING, #Alaska @craciunresearch Poll (10/21-26):

Clinton 47% (+4)
Trump 43%
Johnson 7%
Stein 3%https://t.co/ZX4cx8YYob
Ã¢ÂÂ Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) October 30, 2016

Never heard of this particular pollster before, and the sample size was only 400, but that may be a decent sample in Alaska.

Full report is here.

Another very quick look at national polls

MeMeMeMeMe

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Saturday October 29, 2016 · 7:19 AM PDT

2016/10/29 · 07:19

Just a follow up on teacherken’s diary of yesterday, wherein he posted a tweet from Jeff Gauvin, who tweets out the state of national polling every day. Here is today’s edition:

POLLS 10/29
Ã¢ÂÂ CNB C+10
Ã¢ÂÂ AP C+14
Ã¢ÂÂ PEW C+6
Ã¢ÂÂ ABC C+2
Ã¢ÂÂ SU C+9
Ã¢ÂÂ DC C+12
Ã¢ÂÂ FOX C+5
Ã¢ÂÂ ATL C+15
Ã¢ÂÂ QUI C+7
Ã¢ÂÂ BLO C+9
Ã¢ÂÂ CBS C+9
Ã¢ÂÂ MON C+12
Ã¢ÂÂ WSJ C+10
Ã¢ÂÂ REU C+6
Ã¢ÂÂ Jeff Gauvin (@JeffersonObama) October 29, 2016

The average of those 14 polls is exactly 9 points, down from 9.5 yesterday. Note that it does not include the IDB tracking poll so beloved of Trump supporters, which today has Hillary +4. So even Trump’s favorite poll is no longer cooperating.

New Quinnipiac Polls: TIED in GA and IA, up in NC and VA

MeMeMeMeMe

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Thursday October 27, 2016 · 12:08 PM PDT

2016/10/27 · 12:08

It’s actually Trump +1 in Georgia, but Quinnipiac is calling it a tie, so I’m going with their wording (Edited to add: they are tied in the head-to-head as opposed to 3-way):

Clinton Catches Trump For Ties In #Georgia #Iowa; She's Up In #NorthCarolina Running Away In #Virginia https://t.co/4k5MD9SKhf #Election2016 pic.twitter.com/R8AKUfcASf
Ã¢ÂÂ Quinnipiac Poll (@QuinnipiacPoll) October 27, 2016

Several new state polls have come out, and they all look good for Clinton:

GEORGIA: Trump 44 - Clinton 43, Johnson 8

IOWA: Clinton 44 - Trump 44, Johnson 4

NORTH CAROLINA: Clinton 47 - Trump 43, Johnson 5

VIRGINIA: Clinton 50 - Trump 38, Johnson 4

Quinnipiac goes on to say:

Democrat Hillary Clinton wipes out Republican Donald Trump's leads in Georgia and Iowa, where the two are tied among likely voters. She has a slight edge in North Carolina and is pounding Trump in Virginia, according to a Quinnipiac University Swing State Poll released today.

LOL, Newt Gingrich melts down on Fox News

MeMeMeMeMe

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Tuesday October 25, 2016 · 7:01 PM PDT

2016/10/25 · 19:01

Not a terribly important diary, but I enjoyed the desperation of Newt Gingrich on Megyn Kelly’s show, struggling to steer the conversation back to Bill Clinton and away from Donald Trump:

Wow. pic.twitter.com/fUhQnWvB93
Ã¢ÂÂ Curtis Houck (@CurtisHouck) October 26, 2016

As we enter the final two weeks, the desperation grows thick. Kelly ended the discussion with “You can take your anger issues and spend some time working on them, Mr. Speaker”. lol

Here is the direct link to the tweet, in case the video doesn’t show up for you.

*******************************************

I didn’t even include the best quote from Gingrich:

“You are fascinated with sex and you don’t care about public policy.”

Wapo: Trump halts big-money fundraising, cutting off cash to the party

MeMeMeMeMe

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Tuesday October 25, 2016 · 2:23 PM PDT

2016/10/25 · 14:23

TAMPA, FL - OCTOBER 24: Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks during a campaign rally at the MidFlorida Credit Union Amphitheatre on October 24, 2016 in Tampa, Florida. There are 14 days until the the presidential election. (Photo by Joe Raedle/Getty Images) — You...GOP...you get nothing.

Apparently Donald Trump is not done burning down the Republican Party:

Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump has effectively shut down his high-dollar fundraising operation for the rest of the campaign, a highly unusual move that deals another serious blow to the GOP's effort to finance its get-out-the-vote operation before Election Day.

Yeah, that’s all they needed right now.

...Trump's decision effectively turns off one of the main spigots to the Republican National Committee, which collected $40 million through Trump Victory as of Sept. 30. The party has devoted a large share of the funds to pay for its national voter mobilization program to benefit the entire Republican ticket.

The article goes on to say that Trump’s online fundraising continues to do well...but:

...the RNC gets only 20 percent of the money that Trump raises online in conjunction with the party, while the vast majority of the big checks contributed to Trump Victory are routed to the party.

It’s not often I get to say that I fully support Trump in his efforts.

Adding:

Shorter Trump: "Fuck you" https://t.co/4rhirR5R4N
Ã¢ÂÂ Shoshana Weissmann (@senatorshoshana) October 25, 2016

U.K. Telegraph exclusive investigation: Donald Trump faces foreign donor fundraising scandal

MeMeMeMeMe

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Monday October 24, 2016 · 2:53 PM PDT

2016/10/24 · 14:53

The UK Telegraph has done an exclusive investigation:

Donald Trump’s presidential campaign is facing a fundraising scandal after a Telegraph investigation exposed how key supporters were prepared to accept illicit donations from foreign backers.

The Telegraph did their own version of James O’Keefe (except competently), going undercover and pretending to represent a Chinese donor:

Undercover reporters posing as consultants acting for a Chinese benefactor approached specific pro-Trump and pro-Clinton fundraisers and groups after receiving information that individuals were involved in hiding foreign donations.

The Clinton camp didn’t return their calls. Trump’s people, however, were interested:

But earlier this month an undercover reporter spoke by telephone to Eric Beach, co-chairman of the pro-Trump Great America PAC, which has the backing of Rudy Giuliani, one of Mr Trump’s most senior advisers, as well as the billionaire's son Eric.

...

Mr Benton said the $2 million, for which he would submit an invoice for “appearances” would “definitely allow us to spend two million more dollars on digital and television advertising for Trump.” The Chinese benefactor's generosity would be “whispered into Mr Trump’s ear.” He said he had previously helped US donors conceal donations.

The whole story is rather sordid, and should be read in its entirety.

PPP North Carolina: Clinton +3, huge lead for Dems in early voting

MeMeMeMeMe

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Monday October 24, 2016 · 8:27 AM PDT

2016/10/24 · 08:27

The latest from Public Policy Polling in North Carolina:

Our new North Carolina poll finds Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump 47-44, with Gary Johnson at 4%: https://t.co/YzoMFPxFWR
Ã¢ÂÂ PublicPolicyPolling (@ppppolls) October 24, 2016

Among those who have already voted in NC, Clinton is leading Trump 63-37 with Johnson rounding down to 0: https://t.co/YzoMFPxFWR
Ã¢ÂÂ PublicPolicyPolling (@ppppolls) October 24, 2016

The Senate race is also close:

The Senate race remains very close with Richard Burr at 42% to 41% for Deborah Ross, and 6% for Sean Haugh.

PDF with full results.

GOP office in NC firebombed. Trump responds about as you'd expect

MeMeMeMeMe

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Sunday October 16, 2016 · 4:03 PM PDT

2016/10/16 · 16:03

A GOP office in Hillsborough, North Carolina was firebombed last night:

A GOP office in Hillsborough, North Carolina, was firebombed overnight, with a swastika and the words "Nazi Republicans get out of town or else" spray painted on an adjacent building, according to local officials.

A despicable act, and Hillary Clinton has already responded appropriately:

The attack on the Orange County HQ @NCGOP office is horrific and unacceptable. Very grateful that everyone is safe.
Ã¢ÂÂ Hillary Clinton (@HillaryClinton) October 16, 2016

To which the NCGOP graciously responded:

Thank you for your thoughts & prayers, Sec. @HillaryClinton.
Ã¢ÂÂ NCGOP (@NCGOP) October 16, 2016

At this point there is no evidence as to the perpetrators. So naturally, Donald Trump, in presidential fashion, decided to weigh in:

Animals representing Hillary Clinton and Dems in North Carolina just firebombed our office in Orange County because we are winning @NCGOP
Ã¢ÂÂ Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) October 16, 2016

Law enforcement has no idea who was responsible for the bombing, or at least they are not yet saying.

Harry F@cking Reid

MeMeMeMeMe

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Friday October 07, 2016 · 9:06 PM PDT

2016/10/07 · 21:06

Preach:

In the name of decency, Republicans should admit that this deviant - this sociopath - cannot be president.

Please read the entire thing. It is beautiful.

Breaking NYT: Yet another story of Trump sexual misconduct

MeMeMeMeMe

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Friday October 07, 2016 · 6:51 PM PDT

2016/10/07 · 18:51

Nicholas Kristoff had originally scheduled this story for Sunday, but decided to move it up to today for obvious reasons:

JILL HARTH’S first concern with Donald Trump’s hands wasn’t that they were small. It’s that they were everywhere.

Harth and her longtime boyfriend were in meetings with Trump to forge a business partnership. “He was relentless,” Harth recalled in an interview, describing how on Dec. 12, 1992, he took the couple to dinner and a club — and then situated himself beside Harth and ran his hands up her skirt, to her crotch. “I didn’t know how to handle it. I would go away from him and say I have to go to the restroom. It was the escape route.”

That’s how the story begins. I can’t quote too much because of fair use, but here’s a bit more:

That year, Harth continued to meet Trump for business — and, she says, he continued to try to jump her. “He’d say, ‘Let’s go in my room, I want to lie down,’ and he’d pull me along. I’d say, ‘I don’t want to lie down,’ and it would turn into a wrestling match. … I remember yelling, ‘I didn’t come here for this.’ He’d say, ‘Just calm down.’”

There’s much more at the link.

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